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地點:
開展時間: 2025-02-11
舉辦單位: 美國加州圖拉爾國際展覽中心
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地點: 巴彥淖爾市
開展時間: 2025-02-22
舉辦單位: 內(nèi)蒙古春季農(nóng)機展組委會
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地點: 廣州市
開展時間: 2025-02-25
舉辦單位: 廣州光亞法蘭克福展覽有限公司
2023年農(nóng)機市場復蘇乏力,持續(xù)向好的基本面未變
2023-12-14
17:17:39
來源:農(nóng)機網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布 閱讀量:29698
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導讀:12月12日,在貴州貴陽召開的2023年全國農(nóng)機工業(yè)工作會議暨協(xié)會六屆五次理事會上,中國農(nóng)機工業(yè)協(xié)會執(zhí)行副會長兼秘書長寧學貴作了題為“抗住壓力、行穩(wěn)致遠”的報告。
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農(nóng)機網(wǎng) 市場行情】農(nóng)業(yè)機械的發(fā)展對于提高農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率、改善農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)條件、提高農(nóng)民收入等方面都具有重要的意義。因2022年國三設備去庫存,提前透支了需求,加之升級到國四標準使得終端價格上升、用戶購買力下降,使用成本上升,致使2023年農(nóng)機市場增長創(chuàng)下歷史新低,
拖拉機和
收獲機械都出現(xiàn)了不同程度的下滑。
12月12日,在貴州貴陽召開的2023年全國農(nóng)機工業(yè)工作會議暨協(xié)會六屆五次理事會上,中國農(nóng)機工業(yè)協(xié)會執(zhí)行副會長兼秘書長寧學貴作了題為“抗住壓力、行穩(wěn)致遠”的報告,對2023年度農(nóng)機工業(yè)運行進行了分析。
農(nóng)機工業(yè)差強人意,在機械行業(yè)排名末位:
2023年中國農(nóng)機工業(yè)基本狀況:2199家規(guī)模以上企業(yè),業(yè)務收入預計2400億,業(yè)務收入同比下降10.38%; 利潤總額同比下降 14.36%。
70%的細分行業(yè)出現(xiàn)下降:
主要糧油作物耕種收機械、畜牧機械、零部件等主要行業(yè)表現(xiàn)欠佳。
多數(shù)農(nóng)機產(chǎn)品產(chǎn)量市場低迷(部分成熟產(chǎn)品受政策刺激拉動增長):
2023年1-10月份
打捆機銷量同比下滑2269%;手扶插秧機銷量同比下滑7.25%;高速乘坐插秧機銷量同比增長43.51;玉米收獲機銷量同比下滑25.8%;履帶拖拉機銷量同比下滑29.73%;輪式收獲機銷量同比下滑24.9%;手扶拖拉機銷量同比下滑0.12%;小四輪銷量同比增長95.29%;大中拖銷量同比下滑6.09%。
拖拉機市場銷量好過預期:
1-10月骨干企業(yè)大中拖產(chǎn)量同比下滑6.09%——
產(chǎn)量超過萬臺的5家企業(yè),部首企業(yè)產(chǎn)量超過7萬臺;
產(chǎn)量增長的企業(yè)占36%,減少的占64%;
大中拖出口增長28.14%,其中外企業(yè)出口占1536%。
1-10月骨干企業(yè)大中拖銷量同比下滑16.86%。
自走式收獲機市場銷量:
輪式收獲機銷量下滑33.53%,喂入量8公斤以上的產(chǎn)品占99.35%,頭部企業(yè)業(yè)績優(yōu)異;
玉米收獲機銷量下滑33.33%,莖穗兼收玉米收獲機搶手,區(qū)域市場有冠軍;
水稻收獲機銷量下滑41.82%,小喂入量機型商品化提速,半喂入收割機增長12.24%。
企業(yè)效益:
企業(yè)虧損額增加超過15%——需求不足拖累,致開工率低,產(chǎn)品同質(zhì)化、行業(yè)內(nèi)卷加劇。
存貨金額大幅增長——骨干企業(yè)大中拖庫存增加49.06%,達到峰值;財務費用增長超過100%。
國四切換:成績斐然
骨干企業(yè)準備到位,國四新產(chǎn)品按期無縫供給市場;
排放再生、系統(tǒng)穩(wěn)定性等質(zhì)量問題比預期的少;
柴油機企業(yè)發(fā)揮“動力”支撐,后處理技術(shù)和智能控制同步開發(fā);
農(nóng)機智能化和新能源動力應用研發(fā)提速。
受國際環(huán)境影響,出口壓力增大:
1-10月我國農(nóng)機累計出口金額比去年同期下降4.5%。
1-10月,我國農(nóng)機累計進口金額比去年同期增長36%。其中,拖拉機累計進口數(shù)量為956輛,進口金額同比增長121.8%; 收獲機械累計進口數(shù)量為3538臺,累計進口金額比去年同期增長58.1%;大型二手農(nóng)機進口呈增長趨勢。
目前,我國農(nóng)機工業(yè)發(fā)展面臨著諸多困難和挑戰(zhàn),雖然短期內(nèi)市場復蘇乏力,但持續(xù)向好的基本面沒有變,具體表現(xiàn):
農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部、工業(yè)和信息化部聯(lián)合啟動農(nóng)機裝備補短板行動兩年來,聚焦大型大馬力機械、丘陵山區(qū)適用小型機械以及智能化等領(lǐng)域的農(nóng)機裝備短板扎實開展攻關(guān),一批關(guān)鍵機具研發(fā)應用取得明顯進展,一些地方農(nóng)機裝備產(chǎn)業(yè)集群正在形成,產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈韌性進一步增強,農(nóng)機裝備正加快向“大中小型兼?zhèn)?、綠色高效智能一體”邁進。
近年來,國家倡議“一帶一路”,倡導本土農(nóng)機企業(yè)“走出去”,也收獲了大批頭目企業(yè)的積極響應。
國四升級帶來產(chǎn)業(yè)優(yōu)化,企業(yè)積極自我迭代升級,加速優(yōu)勝劣汰,促進農(nóng)機行業(yè)穩(wěn)健發(fā)展。
注:本文由農(nóng)機網(wǎng)(m.qktnz.cn)整理發(fā)布,數(shù)據(jù)來源:中國農(nóng)機工業(yè)協(xié)會企業(yè)管理委員會、海關(guān)總署。
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