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人民幣“破7”,對農(nóng)機企業(yè)有什么影響?
2019-08-07
17:35:44
來源:農(nóng)機網(wǎng)原創(chuàng) 作者:林言 閱讀量:48246
評論
導讀:8月5日,人民幣對美元中間價報6.9225,下調(diào)229點,成為2018年12月3日以來低。當日上午,離岸、在岸人民幣對美元匯后雙雙跌破“7”關口。人民幣匯率11年來首度“破7”,引發(fā)市場關注。
【農(nóng)機網(wǎng) 編輯視角】 8月5日,人民幣對美元中間價報6.9225,下調(diào)229點,成為2018年12月3日以來低。當日上午,離岸、在岸人民幣對美元匯后雙雙跌破“7”關口。人民幣匯率11年來首度“破7”,引發(fā)市場關注。
那么,人民幣“破7”對農(nóng)機企業(yè)會帶來什么影響呢?一般來說,人民幣貶值會造成進口產(chǎn)品價格上升,但有利于提高出口業(yè)的競爭力。
對進口企業(yè)來說,產(chǎn)品和原材料價格會上升。我們知道,一些生產(chǎn)型農(nóng)機企業(yè)的部分零部件是從國外進口的,人民幣“破7”后短期內(nèi)這部分企業(yè)的生產(chǎn)成本或許會有所增加;而對出口型企業(yè)來說,出口業(yè)務以美元計價,人民幣匯率走低,出口企業(yè)收到美金結匯后收益會有所增加。短期來說,這對一些有出口業(yè)務的大中型農(nóng)機企業(yè)是利好的。
當然,即便沒有人民幣“破7”帶來的影響,農(nóng)機企業(yè)擴大出口對整個農(nóng)機行業(yè)來說也是有利的。中國是世界大的農(nóng)業(yè)機械制造國,一方面,隨著規(guī)模農(nóng)業(yè)的提倡和國內(nèi)農(nóng)機制造水平的提高,農(nóng)機設備品類逐漸齊全;另一方面,農(nóng)機產(chǎn)業(yè)面臨主要糧食作物耕種收等機械產(chǎn)能過剩的問題,中國農(nóng)機企業(yè)需要“走出去”;再加上近幾年政策東風的加持——“一帶一路”倡議合作區(qū)域國家為中國農(nóng)機設備出口提供了市場空間,在農(nóng)機制造業(yè)也有著廣闊的合作前景。
據(jù)相關數(shù)據(jù)統(tǒng)計,2017年農(nóng)機行業(yè)進出口總額達123.27億美元,同比增長了11.18%。其中出口額為100.89億美元,同比增長14.53%,
拖拉機(包括輪、履及履帶牽引車、手扶)出口總量是151519臺,同比增長20.40%。而2018年我國農(nóng)機出口業(yè)務也呈增長態(tài)勢,并且由過去的中小產(chǎn)品為主逐漸轉(zhuǎn)化為大中型產(chǎn)品,產(chǎn)品品質(zhì)和價格也有所提高。
在當前國內(nèi)農(nóng)機市場飽和、行業(yè)下行壓力持續(xù)增大的情況下,鼓勵農(nóng)機企業(yè)“走出去”、擴大出口業(yè)務,對緩解企業(yè)自身壓力有著非常積極的作用。但這并不意味著企業(yè)可以忽略競爭意識、繼續(xù)在中低端產(chǎn)品上停步不前。對企業(yè)來說,做好產(chǎn)品創(chuàng)新,提高產(chǎn)品的競爭力才是企業(yè)立足的根本。經(jīng)濟形勢變化莫測,有機遇也有危機,例如此次人民幣“破7”帶來的利好也只是短時的。若以后貿(mào)易摩擦增多,對農(nóng)機出口也會產(chǎn)生不小影響。因此,提高產(chǎn)品品質(zhì),利用新技術擴大國外市場,穩(wěn)定國外市場份額,在當?shù)亟⒑每诒?,才是企業(yè)“走出去”的正確方式方法。
在這方面,國內(nèi)的雷沃、中國一拖、東風農(nóng)機等企業(yè)為行業(yè)帶了好頭:中國一拖目前產(chǎn)品已出口澳大利亞、匈牙利、古巴等150多個國家和地區(qū),成功進駐絲綢之路經(jīng)濟帶的樣板工程中白工業(yè)園,成為“中國制造”挺進“一帶一路”的一道亮麗風景線;而雷沃繼出口大量拖拉機產(chǎn)品后,水稻機的出口量也大幅增長,目前雷沃水稻機的出口市場集中在緬甸、印尼等東南亞國家,并在南美、南亞、非洲逐步打開市場,甚至遠在大洋洲的一些國家,也頻頻向雷沃拋出橄欖枝;東風農(nóng)機目前市場出口國家達到75個,國外銷售商數(shù)量達到115家,其中70%為一帶一路國家市場,出口量占公司銷量的20%左右。
人民幣“破7”為農(nóng)機企業(yè)帶來的利好或許只是暫時的,它更像是一個契機,激勵企業(yè)提高自身綜合素質(zhì)、加快轉(zhuǎn)型升級,努力以高品質(zhì)、高姿態(tài)走向,朝著成為“中國智造”代名詞的目標奮進。
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